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A quick update....I have some longer term indicators on the DOW suggesting that a decent rally is about to take place. Therefore, I went long a swing trading position on today's close. Went long the DDM (DOW JONES DOUBLE LEVERAGED ETF) at 59.34. My will may be tested but that is okay since I have a very small size on. I do NOT trade big sizes when I trade against the trend. That is a big NO NO.
Let's clarify. Could we go lower? YES! This is a speculative swing trade and I believe we will see DOW 12000 before my 1170 target on the S&P 500 is met. This will be a bear market rally in the bigger downtrend. I will watch closely and stop it out if I don't like the action. However, this indicator is very reliable over the last 15 years and I don't see why it wouldn't generate a robust bounce here. The bearish sentiment is climbing by the day. I hear the word "crash" quite a bit. While I think the market will crash, it will probably not happen here. It will probably take a couple months; most likely the August to October timeframe.
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